The data prior to 2-1-09 is from last January and is here just for test purposes. On February 4th and then again on the 6th I increased the number of forecast days that are stored. I'd recommend storing the maximum because you can easily disregard or destroy the data, but you can't go back later and get it. If you want to test with a copy of this data, you can get a copy here.
WxSim & NWS Forecast Temperature Comparisons
National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Afternoon Forecasts
| Updated: 02-03-12 at 2:31 pm |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 02-03-12 |
35 |
|
35 |
26 |
|
17 |
38 |
|
45 |
26 |
|
13 |
40 |
|
43 |
27 |
|
19 |
42 |
|
51 |
24 |
|
16 |
| 02-02-12 |
35 |
32.7 |
35 |
27 |
29.9 |
17 |
41 |
|
44 |
28 |
|
22 |
36 |
|
43 |
26 |
|
15 |
36 |
|
47 |
24 |
|
18 |
| 02-01-12 |
37 |
36.9 |
37 |
29 |
28 |
16 |
43 |
32.7 |
47 |
28 |
29.9 |
21 |
39 |
|
41 |
27 |
|
25 |
35 |
|
40 |
23 |
|
18 |
| 01-31-12 |
47 |
50.6 |
51 |
28 |
32.4 |
22 |
41 |
36.9 |
42 |
26 |
28 |
24 |
41 |
32.7 |
45 |
27 |
29.9 |
22 |
38 |
|
45 |
26 |
|
26 |
| 01-30-12 |
38 |
41.3 |
42 |
31 |
27 |
24 |
43 |
50.6 |
48 |
28 |
32.4 |
21 |
37 |
36.9 |
43 |
24 |
28 |
18 |
38 |
32.7 |
47 |
26 |
29.9 |
24 |
| 01-29-12 |
18 |
24.2 |
23 |
9 |
10.2 |
9 |
39 |
41.3 |
45 |
32 |
27 |
29 |
43 |
50.6 |
53 |
30 |
32.4 |
26 |
38 |
36.9 |
38 |
24 |
28 |
24 |
| 01-28-12 |
28 |
31.9 |
29 |
15 |
14.9 |
9 |
21 |
24.2 |
24 |
13 |
10.2 |
13 |
36 |
41.3 |
48 |
25 |
27 |
25 |
41 |
50.6 |
51 |
28 |
32.4 |
29 |
| 01-27-12 |
36 |
37.7 |
38 |
18 |
20.6 |
16 |
28 |
31.9 |
28 |
15 |
14.9 |
15 |
22 |
24.2 |
20 |
15 |
10.2 |
8 |
34 |
41.3 |
41 |
24 |
27 |
22 |
| 01-26-12 |
38 |
33.2 |
34 |
18 |
22.8 |
15 |
34 |
37.7 |
40 |
18 |
20.6 |
17 |
29 |
31.9 |
28 |
12 |
14.9 |
11 |
20 |
24.2 |
17 |
7 |
10.2 |
8 |
| 01-25-12 |
32 |
32.3 |
33 |
22 |
26.4 |
22 |
38 |
33.2 |
38 |
19 |
22.8 |
16 |
33 |
37.7 |
38 |
19 |
20.6 |
14 |
28 |
31.9 |
39 |
9 |
14.9 |
15 |
| 01-24-12 |
27 |
29.3 |
28 |
14 |
17.1 |
9 |
34 |
32.3 |
35 |
22 |
26.4 |
15 |
36 |
33.2 |
36 |
20 |
22.8 |
14 |
33 |
37.7 |
39 |
18 |
20.6 |
16 |
| 01-23-12 |
30 |
30.7 |
28 |
12 |
21.7 |
7 |
25 |
29.3 |
33 |
10 |
17.1 |
12 |
32 |
32.3 |
38 |
21 |
26.4 |
19 |
36 |
33.2 |
40 |
21 |
22.8 |
13 |
| 01-22-12 |
32 |
29.9 |
27 |
30 |
28.5 |
25 |
34 |
30.7 |
32 |
11 |
21.7 |
15 |
26 |
29.3 |
28 |
15 |
17.1 |
10 |
33 |
32.3 |
40 |
23 |
26.4 |
22 |
| 01-21-12 |
16 |
18.1 |
19 |
13 |
10.8 |
9 |
34 |
29.9 |
33 |
29 |
28.5 |
25 |
29 |
30.7 |
30 |
10 |
21.7 |
18 |
25 |
29.3 |
34 |
15 |
17.1 |
14 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
4 |
|
9 |
4 |
|
2 |
1 |
|
2 |
4 |
|
2 |
3 |
|
3 |
2 |
|
1 |
2 |
|
4 |
1 |
|
1 |
| % Succ |
30.8 |
|
69.2 |
30.8 |
|
15.4 |
8.3 |
|
16.7 |
33.3 |
|
16.7 |
27.3 |
|
27.3 |
18.2 |
|
9.1 |
20.0 |
|
40.0 |
10.0 |
|
10.0 |
| Ave Error |
2.6 |
|
1.3 |
3.2 |
|
6.9 |
4.4 |
|
4.0 |
3.8 |
|
5.5 |
3.6 |
|
4.2 |
3.9 |
|
6.0 |
4.4 |
|
5.1 |
3.4 |
|
4.3 |
| Net Error |
-1.1 |
|
-0.4 |
-1.9 |
|
-6.9 |
0.3 |
|
2.9 |
-2.4 |
|
-4.7 |
-1.5 |
|
2.4 |
-3.0 |
|
-6.0 |
-2.4 |
|
3.6 |
-3.4 |
|
-4.2 |
| Std Dev |
1.8 |
|
1.0 |
2.5 |
|
4.4 |
2.9 |
|
3.7 |
2.3 |
|
4.1 |
3.0 |
|
3.7 |
2.3 |
|
3.9 |
3.5 |
|
5.1 |
2.3 |
|
3.1 |
|
|
|
National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Morning Forecasts
| Updated: 02-03-12 at 9:31 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 02-03-12 |
37 |
|
48 |
26 |
|
25 |
38 |
|
46 |
26 |
|
15 |
40 |
|
45 |
27 |
|
14 |
42 |
|
42 |
24 |
|
17 |
| 02-02-12 |
42 |
32.7 |
47 |
27 |
29.9 |
23 |
41 |
|
44 |
28 |
|
19 |
36 |
|
38 |
26 |
|
18 |
36 |
|
46 |
24 |
|
21 |
| 02-01-12 |
39 |
36.9 |
48 |
26 |
28 |
26 |
42 |
32.7 |
45 |
28 |
29.9 |
22 |
39 |
|
44 |
28 |
|
24 |
35 |
|
43 |
24 |
|
31 |
| 01-31-12 |
48 |
50.6 |
55 |
28 |
32.4 |
25 |
41 |
36.9 |
43 |
26 |
28 |
27 |
41 |
32.7 |
38 |
27 |
29.9 |
25 |
38 |
|
46 |
26 |
|
26 |
| 01-30-12 |
39 |
41.3 |
44 |
30 |
27 |
28 |
43 |
50.6 |
53 |
28 |
32.4 |
28 |
37 |
36.9 |
44 |
24 |
28 |
21 |
39 |
32.7 |
47 |
26 |
29.9 |
23 |
| 01-29-12 |
22 |
24.2 |
24 |
12 |
10.2 |
12 |
37 |
41.3 |
45 |
29 |
27 |
29 |
43 |
50.6 |
52 |
29 |
32.4 |
26 |
39 |
36.9 |
38 |
24 |
28 |
19 |
| 01-28-12 |
28 |
31.9 |
31 |
15 |
14.9 |
12 |
21 |
24.2 |
25 |
13 |
10.2 |
16 |
36 |
41.3 |
46 |
25 |
27 |
26 |
41 |
50.6 |
48 |
28 |
32.4 |
31 |
| 01-27-12 |
34 |
37.7 |
43 |
20 |
20.6 |
19 |
29 |
31.9 |
28 |
13 |
14.9 |
14 |
21 |
24.2 |
18 |
8 |
10.2 |
6 |
33 |
41.3 |
39 |
24 |
27 |
18 |
| 01-26-12 |
38 |
33.2 |
41 |
18 |
22.8 |
15 |
34 |
37.7 |
35 |
16 |
20.6 |
15 |
29 |
31.9 |
31 |
11 |
14.9 |
14 |
19 |
24.2 |
17 |
8 |
10.2 |
10 |
| 01-25-12 |
34 |
32.3 |
39 |
22 |
26.4 |
25 |
38 |
33.2 |
39 |
19 |
22.8 |
14 |
33 |
37.7 |
36 |
19 |
20.6 |
15 |
28 |
31.9 |
36 |
9 |
14.9 |
13 |
| 01-24-12 |
28 |
29.3 |
36 |
14 |
17.1 |
17 |
34 |
32.3 |
38 |
22 |
26.4 |
19 |
36 |
33.2 |
39 |
20 |
22.8 |
14 |
33 |
37.7 |
36 |
18 |
20.6 |
17 |
| 01-23-12 |
33 |
30.7 |
30 |
12 |
21.7 |
9 |
25 |
29.3 |
32 |
10 |
17.1 |
10 |
32 |
32.3 |
41 |
21 |
26.4 |
23 |
36 |
33.2 |
43 |
21 |
22.8 |
25 |
| 01-22-12 |
33 |
29.9 |
36 |
30 |
28.5 |
30 |
34 |
30.7 |
32 |
11 |
21.7 |
16 |
26 |
29.3 |
28 |
15 |
17.1 |
8 |
33 |
32.3 |
40 |
23 |
26.4 |
22 |
| 01-21-12 |
17 |
18.1 |
22 |
13 |
10.8 |
13 |
34 |
29.9 |
38 |
29 |
28.5 |
24 |
29 |
30.7 |
26 |
10 |
21.7 |
16 |
25 |
29.3 |
34 |
15 |
17.1 |
12 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
3 |
|
3 |
5 |
|
7 |
1 |
|
2 |
5 |
|
3 |
3 |
|
4 |
2 |
|
2 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
|
3 |
| % Succ |
23.1 |
|
23.1 |
38.5 |
|
53.8 |
8.3 |
|
16.7 |
41.7 |
|
25.0 |
27.3 |
|
36.4 |
18.2 |
|
18.2 |
10.0 |
|
20.0 |
10.0 |
|
30.0 |
| Ave Error |
3.1 |
|
5.4 |
3.1 |
|
3.8 |
4.4 |
|
4.6 |
3.8 |
|
5.1 |
3.7 |
|
4.3 |
3.8 |
|
5.2 |
4.8 |
|
5.6 |
3.3 |
|
4.4 |
| Net Error |
0.5 |
|
5.2 |
-1.8 |
|
-2.8 |
0.1 |
|
3.5 |
-3.0 |
|
-3.8 |
-1.6 |
|
1.7 |
-3.8 |
|
-5.2 |
-2.4 |
|
2.8 |
-3.3 |
|
-3.9 |
| Std Dev |
2.2 |
|
4.2 |
2.5 |
|
3.7 |
2.7 |
|
3.4 |
2.2 |
|
3.3 |
2.9 |
|
3.0 |
2.3 |
|
3.5 |
3.7 |
|
4.9 |
2.3 |
|
4.0 |
|
|
|